The removal of hawkish national security adviser John Bolton has eased geopolitical concerns, analysts say (ALEX WONG)

Hong Kong (AFP) – Asian markets mostly rose on Wednesday with a broadly upbeat tone across trading floors ahead of major meetings at the European and US central banks, while there is also a growing sense of optimism over China-US trade talks.

News that Donald Trump had fired his fervently hawkish national security adviser also lifted sentiment with analysts saying it could see the White House take a less strident approach and ease geopolitical tensions.

With the global economy stuttering attention has turned increasingly to central banks as investors look for more stimulus.

On Thursday the European Central Bank holds one of its most anticipated gatherings and hopes are for a series of fresh measures including a possible interest rate cut, fresh bond-buying quantitative easing (QE) or other loosening tools.

That is followed by the Federal Reserve’s board meeting next week, where it is tipped to announce another reduction in borrowing costs as the world’s top economy — which has so far been the strongest globally — stutters.

“With the expectation of the resumption of quantitative easing by the ECB… and a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, the risk environment has solidified and tempted investors out of hiding from the bond markets and back into equities,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.

In early trade Hong Kong was up 0.4 percent, while Tokyo finished the morning 0.6 percent higher and Singapore put on 0.4 percent. Seoul rose 0.5 percent, Sydney and Taipei each added 0.2 percent, while Manila and Jakarta posted gains.

However, Shanghai was marginally lower and Wellington tumbled more than one percent as Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s government was rocked by its handling of sexual assault allegations against a top Labour Party staffer.

Dealers are also awaiting the latest developments in trade talks between China and the US ahead of next month’s planned top-level meeting, with both sides sounding less terse in recent statements, which has lifted hopes.

– Lower war-risk premium –

Trump’s decision to sack John Bolton as leading security adviser raised the possibility of an easing of tensions between the US and several nations, particularly Iran.

The controversial Bolton was closely linked to the invasion of Iraq and other past aggressive US foreign policy decisions, and was seen as one of the main driving forces in Trump’s muscular approach to Tehran, North Korea and Venezuela, among others.

Stephen Innes at AxiTrader said that while the move did not necessarily mean a huge change in policy direction, “it does eliminate the most vocal advocate for US military-enforced regime change in the Trump administration”.

He added that “from a geopolitical risk perspective, it does lessen war risk premiums, especially in Syria, Venezuela, and Iran and opens the door to more friendly discussion with North Korea”.

However, the possibility of a dialling down in the stand-off between the US and Iran led to a plunge Tuesday in the price of oil, with WTI diving almost three percent from an intraday high and Brent shedding 2.5 percent.

The two contracts later clawed back some of the losses on bargain-buying expectations for more output cuts by leading producers led by Saudi Arabia.

In share trading companies linked to Apple enjoyed healthy buying after the US tech giant unveiled new iPhones, including a lower-priced offering, and set launch dates for its original video offering as well as its game subscription service.

In Tokyo, Alps Alpine surged three percent, Japan Display put on nearly three percent and Sharp rallied more than four percent, while LG Display in Seoul was up two percent in Seoul. Taipei-listed Foxconn rose 0.2 percent.

On forex markets the pound held its recent gains as Prime Minister Boris Johnson said he was pushing to strike a divorce agreement with the European Union, having lost a series of key votes to MPs opposed to a no-deal Brexit.

– Key figures around 0230 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.6 percent at 21,514.14 (break)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.4 percent at 26,784.99

Shanghai – Composite: FLAT at 3,020.13

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2348 from $1.2357 at 2050 GMT

Euro/pound: UP at 89.47 pence from 89.37 pence

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1047 from $1.1042

Dollar/yen: UP at 107.64 yen from 107.53 yen

West Texas Intermediate: UP 45 cents at $57.85 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 40 cents at $62.78 per barrel 

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.3 percent at 26,909.43 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,267.95 (close)

Disclaimer: Validity of the above story is for 7 Days from original date of publishing. Source: AFP.